Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.026226 0.031460 0.036943 0.043072 0.049694 0.056597 0.064303
2025-11-16 0.016484 0.023476 0.031392 0.040805 0.051513 0.063160 0.076643
2025-11-23 0.010587 0.018167 0.027444 0.039099 0.052917 0.068431 0.086854
2025-11-30 0.007638 0.015643 0.026133 0.039890 0.056699 0.075986 0.099275
2025-12-07 0.005655 0.013885 0.025391 0.041051 0.060659 0.083538 0.111515
2025-12-14 0.004396 0.012849 0.025369 0.042934 0.065348 0.091834 0.124523
2025-12-21 0.003122 0.011415 0.024569 0.043637 0.068451 0.098151 0.135140
2025-12-28 0.002856 0.011707 0.026212 0.047549 0.075552 0.109247 0.151372
2026-01-04 0.001628 0.009655 0.024117 0.046245 0.075926 0.112128 0.157815
2026-01-11 0.001070 0.008775 0.023696 0.047147 0.079054 0.118309 0.168141
2026-01-18 0.000591 0.007751 0.022897 0.047422 0.081302 0.123362 0.177079
2026-01-25 0.000273 0.006857 0.022184 0.047738 0.083545 0.128367 0.185926
2026-02-01 0.000060 0.005842 0.021184 0.047672 0.085401 0.133069 0.194659
2026-02-08 NaN 0.004389 0.019077 0.045790 0.084730 0.134559 0.199470
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003207 0.017191 0.044076 0.084174 0.136116 0.204307
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002810 0.016950 0.044937 0.087160 0.142180 0.214681
2026-03-01 NaN 0.002540 0.016955 0.046177 0.090662 0.148901 0.225865
2026-03-08 NaN 0.002456 0.017420 0.048179 0.095243 0.157018 0.238785
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002130 0.017160 0.048925 0.098021 0.162790 0.248788
2026-03-22 NaN 0.002489 0.018879 0.053073 0.105679 0.174918 0.266719
2026-03-29 NaN 0.001795 0.017410 0.051691 0.105379 0.176668 0.271699
2026-04-05 NaN 0.001580 0.017306 0.052647 0.108427 0.182777 0.282116
2026-04-12 NaN 0.001289 0.016847 0.052939 0.110490 0.187584 0.290895